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Gita Gopinath Warns of Possible Correction in Global AI Boom, Questions Investment Returns

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New Delhi, November 8, 2026 (Yes Punjab News)

Former International Monetary Fund (IMF) chief economist Gita Gopinath has cautioned that the global artificial intelligence (AI) investment boom could face a significant market correction, warning that intense competition may make it difficult for companies to generate enough profits to justify their massive spending and valuations.

“I personally think that there will be a correction. It’s impossible to tell when that correction will happen,” the Harvard professor said during a conversation on entrepreneur Raj Shamani’s podcast.

Gopinath pointed to projections that nearly $1 trillion could be spent globally on AI infrastructure and development in 2026 alone, with major investments flowing into markets including the United States, South Korea and Taiwan.

She questioned whether the companies and AI laboratories investing such enormous sums would be able to earn sufficient returns to recover their investments.

In a highly competitive market, she said, it was difficult to see how all the firms involved could generate the profits required to support their current valuations.

Gopinath also warned that a sharp correction in AI-related valuations could have wider consequences for the US economy, which has become increasingly dependent on wealth generated through the technology boom. Such a downturn, she cautioned, could push US economic growth towards zero or even negative territory.

She highlighted the interconnected nature of the AI investment ecosystem, explaining how financial setbacks at one major company could affect others across the industry.

Citing Nvidia as an example, Gopinath noted that the chipmaker invests in AI laboratories, which in turn use funds to purchase its chips. A collapse involving Nvidia or any major AI laboratory could therefore have consequences for the other.

Beyond the market outlook, Gopinath also offered advice to young professionals adapting to changes in the workplace. She cautioned against what she described as “cognitive surrender”, urging people not to rely blindly on AI tools such as ChatGPT and Claude at the expense of developing their own independent thinking and problem-solving abilities.

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